Using Artificial Intelligence to aid Scientific Discovery of Climate Tipping Points

Jennifer Sleeman, David Chung, Chace Ashcraft, Jay Brett, Anand Gnanadesikan +8 more
2/14/2023
cs.AIcs.CE

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Abstract

We propose a hybrid Artificial Intelligence (AI) climate modeling approach that enables climate modelers in scientific discovery using a climate-targeted simulation methodology based on a novel combination of deep neural networks and mathematical methods for modeling dynamical systems. The simulations are grounded by a neuro-symbolic language that both enables question answering of what is learned by the AI methods and provides a means of explainability. We describe how this methodology can be applied to the discovery of climate tipping points and, in particular, the collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). We show how this methodology is able to predict AMOC collapse with a high degree of accuracy using a surrogate climate model for ocean interaction. We also show preliminary results of neuro-symbolic method performance when translating between natural language questions and symbolically learned representations. Our AI methodology shows promising early results, potentially enabling faster climate tipping point related research that would otherwise be computationally infeasible.

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Cite this paper

@article{sleeman2023using,
  title  = {Using Artificial Intelligence to aid Scientific Discovery of Climate Tipping Points},
  author = {Jennifer Sleeman and David Chung and Chace Ashcraft and Jay Brett and Anand Gnanadesikan and Yannis Kevrekidis and Marisa Hughes and Thomas Haine and Marie-Aude Pradal and Renske Gelderloos and Caroline Tang and Anshu Saksena and Larry White},
  year   = {2023},
  eprint = {2302.06852},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2302.06852v1}
}

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