Mixture Weight Estimation and Model Prediction in Multi-source Multi-target Domain Adaptation

Yuyang Deng, Ilja Kuzborskij, M. Mahdavi
2/12/2026

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Abstract

We consider the problem of learning a model from multiple heterogeneous sources with the goal of performing well on a new target distribution. The goal of learner is to mix these data sources in a target-distribution aware way and simultaneously minimize the empirical risk on the mixed source. The literature has made some tangible advancements in establishing theory of learning on mixture domain. However, there are still two unsolved problems. Firstly, how to estimate the optimal mixture of sources, given a target domain; Secondly, when there are numerous target domains, how to solve empirical risk minimization (ERM) for each target using possibly unique mixture of data sources in a computationally efficient manner. In this paper we address both problems efficiently and with guarantees. We cast the first problem, mixture weight estimation, as a convex-nonconcave compositional minimax problem, and propose an efficient stochastic algorithm with provable stationarity guarantees. Next, for the second problem, we identify that for certain regimes, solving ERM for each target domain individually can be avoided, and instead parameters for a target optimal model can be viewed as a non-linear function on a space of the mixture coefficients. Building upon this, we show that in the offline setting, a GD-trained overparameterized neural network can provably learn such function to predict the model of target domain instead of solving a designated ERM problem. Finally, we also consider an online setting and propose a label efficient online algorithm, which predicts parameters for new targets given an arbitrary sequence of mixing coefficients, while enjoying regret guarantees.

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Cite this paper

@article{deng2026mixture,
  title  = {Mixture Weight Estimation and Model Prediction in Multi-source Multi-target Domain Adaptation},
  author = {Yuyang Deng and Ilja Kuzborskij and M. Mahdavi},
  year   = {2026},
  eprint = {2309.10736},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {https://arxiv.org/pdf/2309.10736},
  journal = {NEURIPS 2023 2023}
}

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