Evaluating Large Language Models on Time Series Feature Understanding: A Comprehensive Taxonomy and Benchmark

Elizabeth Fons, Rachneet Kaur, Soham Palande, Zhen Zeng, Tucker Balch +2 more
4/25/2024
cs.CL

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Abstract

Large Language Models (LLMs) offer the potential for automatic time series analysis and reporting, which is a critical task across many domains, spanning healthcare, finance, climate, energy, and many more. In this paper, we propose a framework for rigorously evaluating the capabilities of LLMs on time series understanding, encompassing both univariate and multivariate forms. We introduce a comprehensive taxonomy of time series features, a critical framework that delineates various characteristics inherent in time series data. Leveraging this taxonomy, we have systematically designed and synthesized a diverse dataset of time series, embodying the different outlined features, each accompanied by textual descriptions. This dataset acts as a solid foundation for assessing the proficiency of LLMs in comprehending time series. Our experiments shed light on the strengths and limitations of state-of-the-art LLMs in time series understanding, revealing which features these models readily comprehend effectively and where they falter. In addition, we uncover the sensitivity of LLMs to factors including the formatting of the data, the position of points queried within a series and the overall time series length.

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@article{fons2024evaluating,
  title  = {Evaluating Large Language Models on Time Series Feature Understanding: A Comprehensive Taxonomy and Benchmark},
  author = {Elizabeth Fons and Rachneet Kaur and Soham Palande and Zhen Zeng and Tucker Balch and Manuela Veloso and Svitlana Vyetrenko},
  year   = {2024},
  eprint = {2404.16563},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2404.16563v2}
}

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