Weighted Aggregation of Conformity Scores for Classification

Rui Luo, Zhixin Zhou
7/14/2024
stat.MLcs.LG

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Abstract

Conformal prediction is a powerful framework for constructing prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees in multi-class classification. However, existing methods often rely on a single score function, which can limit their efficiency and informativeness. We propose a novel approach that combines multiple score functions to improve the performance of conformal predictors by identifying optimal weights that minimize prediction set size. Our theoretical analysis establishes a connection between the weighted score functions and subgraph classes of functions studied in Vapnik-Chervonenkis theory, providing a rigorous mathematical basis for understanding the effectiveness of the proposed method. Experiments demonstrate that our approach consistently outperforms single-score conformal predictors while maintaining valid coverage, offering a principled and data-driven way to enhance the efficiency and practicality of conformal prediction in classification tasks.

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@article{luo2024weighted,
  title  = {Weighted Aggregation of Conformity Scores for Classification},
  author = {Rui Luo and Zhixin Zhou},
  year   = {2024},
  eprint = {2407.10230},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2407.10230v2}
}

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