Opinion Dynamics with Set-Based Confidence: Convergence Criteria and Periodic Solutions

Abstract

This paper introduces a new multidimensional extension of the Hegselmann-Krause (HK) opinion dynamics model, where opinion proximity is not determined by a norm or metric. Instead, each agent trusts opinions within the Minkowski sum $ξ+\mathcal{O}$, where $ξ$ is the agent's current opinion and $\mathcal{O}$ is the confidence set defining acceptable deviations. During each iteration, agents update their opinions by simultaneously averaging the trusted opinions. Unlike traditional HK systems, where $\mathcal{O}$ is a ball in some norm, our model allows the confidence set to be non-convex and even unbounded. We demonstrate that the new model, referred to as SCOD (Set-based Confidence Opinion Dynamics), can exhibit properties absent in the conventional HK model. Some solutions may converge to non-equilibrium points in the state space, while others oscillate periodically. These ``pathologies'' disappear if the set $\mathcal{O}$ is symmetric and contains zero in its interior: similar to the usual HK model, SCOD then converges in a finite number of iterations to one of the equilibrium points. The latter property is also preserved if one agent is "stubborn" and resists changing their opinion, yet still influences the others; however, two stubborn agents can lead to oscillations.