Score-based change point detection via tracking the best of infinitely many experts

Anna Markovich, Nikita Puchkin
8/26/2024
cs.LGstat.MEstat.ML

No official code found. Best implementation: lipperr/score_based_change_point_detection (0 stars, last commit 2026-02-04).

Abstract

We suggest a novel algorithm for online change point detection based on sequential score function estimation and tracking the best expert approach. The core of the procedure is a version of the fixed share forecaster for the case of infinite number of experts and quadratic loss functions. The algorithm shows a promising performance in numerical experiments on artificial and real-world data sets. We also derive new upper bounds on the dynamic regret of the fixed share forecaster with varying parameter, which are of independent interest.

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@article{markovich2024scorebased,
  title  = {Score-based change point detection via tracking the best of infinitely many experts},
  author = {Anna Markovich and Nikita Puchkin},
  year   = {2024},
  eprint = {2408.14073},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2408.14073v1}
}

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