TraderTalk: An LLM Behavioural ABM applied to Simulating Human Bilateral Trading Interactions

Alicia Vidler, Toby Walsh
10/10/2024
q-fin.TRcs.AI

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Abstract

We introduce a novel hybrid approach that augments Agent-Based Models (ABMs) with behaviors generated by Large Language Models (LLMs) to simulate human trading interactions. We call our model TraderTalk. Leveraging LLMs trained on extensive human-authored text, we capture detailed and nuanced representations of bilateral conversations in financial trading. Applying this Generative Agent-Based Model (GABM) to government bond markets, we replicate trading decisions between two stylised virtual humans. Our method addresses both structural challenges, such as coordinating turn-taking between realistic LLM-based agents, and design challenges, including the interpretation of LLM outputs by the agent model. By exploring prompt design opportunistically rather than systematically, we enhance the realism of agent interactions without exhaustive overfitting or model reliance. Our approach successfully replicates trade-to-order volume ratios observed in related asset markets, demonstrating the potential of LLM-augmented ABMs in financial simulations

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Cite this paper

@article{vidler2024tradertalk,
  title  = {TraderTalk: An LLM Behavioural ABM applied to Simulating Human Bilateral Trading Interactions},
  author = {Alicia Vidler and Toby Walsh},
  year   = {2024},
  eprint = {2410.21280},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2410.21280v1}
}

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