Causal Additive Models with Unobserved Causal Paths and Backdoor Paths

Thong Pham, Takashi Nicholas Maeda, Shohei Shimizu
2/11/2025
cs.LGstat.MEstat.ML

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Abstract

Causal additive models provide a tractable yet expressive framework for causal discovery in the presence of hidden variables. However, when unobserved backdoor or causal paths exist between two variables, their causal relationship is often unidentifiable under existing theories. We establish sufficient conditions under which causal directions can be identified in many such cases. In particular, we derive conditions that enable identification of the parent-child relationship in a bow, an adjacent pair of observed variables sharing a hidden common parent. This represents a notoriously difficult case in causal discovery, and, to our knowledge, no prior work has established such identifiability in any causal model without imposing assumptions on the hidden variables. Our conditions rely on new characterizations of regression sets and a hybrid approach that combines independence among regression residuals with conditional independencies among observed variables. We further provide a sound and complete algorithm that incorporates these insights, and empirical evaluations demonstrate competitive performance with state-of-the-art methods.

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Cite this paper

@article{pham2025causal,
  title  = {Causal Additive Models with Unobserved Causal Paths and Backdoor Paths},
  author = {Thong Pham and Takashi Nicholas Maeda and Shohei Shimizu},
  year   = {2025},
  eprint = {2502.07646},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2502.07646v2}
}

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