Online Traffic Density Estimation using Physics-Informed Neural Networks

Dennis Wilkman, Kateryna Morozovska, Karl Henrik Johansson, Matthieu Barreau
4/4/2025
cs.LGmath.OC

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Abstract

Recent works on the application of Physics-Informed Neural Networks to traffic density estimation have shown to be promising for future developments due to their robustness to model errors and noisy data. In this paper, we introduce a methodology for online approximation of the traffic density using measurements from probe vehicles in two settings: one using the Greenshield model and the other considering a high-fidelity traffic simulation. The proposed method continuously estimates the real-time traffic density in space and performs model identification with each new set of measurements. The density estimate is updated in almost real-time using gradient descent and adaptive weights. In the case of full model knowledge, the resulting algorithm has similar performance to the classical open-loop one. However, in the case of model mismatch, the iterative solution behaves as a closed-loop observer and outperforms the baseline method. Similarly, in the high-fidelity setting, the proposed algorithm correctly reproduces the traffic characteristics.

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@article{wilkman2025online,
  title  = {Online Traffic Density Estimation using Physics-Informed Neural Networks},
  author = {Dennis Wilkman and Kateryna Morozovska and Karl Henrik Johansson and Matthieu Barreau},
  year   = {2025},
  eprint = {2504.03483},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2504.03483v1}
}

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