Learning Curves of Stochastic Gradient Descent in Kernel Regression

Haihan Zhang, Weicheng Lin, Yuanshi Liu, Cong Fang
2/14/2026

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Abstract

This paper considers a canonical problem in kernel regression: how good are the model performances when it is trained by the popular online first-order algorithms, compared to the offline ones, such as ridge and ridgeless regression? In this paper, we analyze the foundational single-pass Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) in kernel regression under source condition where the optimal predictor can even not belong to the RKHS, i.e. the model is misspecified. Specifically, we focus on the inner product kernel over the sphere and characterize the exact orders of the excess risk curves under different scales of sample sizes $n$ concerning the input dimension $d$. Surprisingly, we show that SGD achieves min-max optimal rates up to constants among all the scales, without suffering the saturation, a prevalent phenomenon observed in (ridge) regression, except when the model is highly misspecified and the learning is in a final stage where $n\gg d^{\gamma}$ with any constant $\gamma>0$. The main reason for SGD to overcome the curse of saturation is the exponentially decaying step size schedule, a common practice in deep neural network training. As a byproduct, we provide the \emph{first} provable advantage of the scheme over the iterative averaging method in the common setting.

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@article{zhang2026learning,
  title  = {Learning Curves of Stochastic Gradient Descent in Kernel Regression},
  author = {Haihan Zhang and Weicheng Lin and Yuanshi Liu and Cong Fang},
  year   = {2026},
  eprint = {2505.22048},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.22048},
  journal = {ICML 2025 2025}
}

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