Message passing-based inference in an autoregressive active inference agent

Wouter M. Kouw, Tim N. Nisslbeck, Wouter L. N. Nuijten
9/29/2025
cs.AIcs.LGcs.RO

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Abstract

We present the design of an autoregressive active inference agent in the form of message passing on a factor graph. Expected free energy is derived and distributed across a planning graph. The proposed agent is validated on a robot navigation task, demonstrating exploration and exploitation in a continuous-valued observation space with bounded continuous-valued actions. Compared to a classical optimal controller, the agent modulates action based on predictive uncertainty, arriving later but with a better model of the robot's dynamics.

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@article{kouw2025message,
  title  = {Message passing-based inference in an autoregressive active inference agent},
  author = {Wouter M. Kouw and Tim N. Nisslbeck and Wouter L. N. Nuijten},
  year   = {2025},
  eprint = {2509.25482},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2509.25482v1}
}

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