Neural Posterior Estimation with Autoregressive Tiling for Detecting Objects in Astronomical Images

Jeffrey Regier
10/3/2025
stat.APastro-ph.IMcs.CV

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Abstract

Upcoming astronomical surveys will produce petabytes of high-resolution images of the night sky, providing information about billions of stars and galaxies. Detecting and characterizing the astronomical objects in these images is a fundamental task in astronomy -- and a challenging one, as most of these objects are faint and many visually overlap with other objects. We propose an amortized variational inference procedure to solve this instance of small-object detection. Our key innovation is a family of spatially autoregressive variational distributions that partition and order the latent space according to a $K$-color checkerboard pattern. By construction, the conditional independencies of this variational family mirror those of the posterior distribution. We fit the variational distribution, which is parameterized by a convolutional neural network, using neural posterior estimation (NPE) to minimize an expectation of the forward KL divergence. Using images from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey, our method achieves state-of-the-art performance. We further demonstrate that the proposed autoregressive structure greatly improves posterior calibration.

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Cite this paper

@article{regier2025neural,
  title  = {Neural Posterior Estimation with Autoregressive Tiling for Detecting Objects in Astronomical Images},
  author = {Jeffrey Regier},
  year   = {2025},
  eprint = {2510.03074},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2510.03074v1}
}

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