HOFLON: Hybrid Offline Learning and Online Optimization for Process Start-Up and Grade-Transition Control

Alex Durkin, Jasper Stolte, Mehmet Mercangöz
10/4/2025
cs.LGeess.SYstat.ML

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Abstract

Start-ups and product grade-changes are critical steps in continuous-process plant operation, because any misstep immediately affects product quality and drives operational losses. These transitions have long relied on manual operation by a handful of expert operators, but the progressive retirement of that workforce is leaving plant owners without the tacit know-how needed to execute them consistently. In the absence of a process model, offline reinforcement learning (RL) promises to capture and even surpass human expertise by mining historical start-up and grade-change logs, yet standard offline RL struggles with distribution shift and value-overestimation whenever a learned policy ventures outside the data envelope. We introduce HOFLON (Hybrid Offline Learning + Online Optimization) to overcome those limitations. Offline, HOFLON learns (i) a latent data manifold that represents the feasible region spanned by past transitions and (ii) a long-horizon Q-critic that predicts the cumulative reward from state-action pairs. Online, it solves a one-step optimization problem that maximizes the Q-critic while penalizing deviations from the learned manifold and excessive rates of change in the manipulated variables. We test HOFLON on two industrial case studies: a polymerization reactor start-up and a paper-machine grade-change problem, and benchmark it against Implicit Q-Learning (IQL), a leading offline-RL algorithm. In both plants HOFLON not only surpasses IQL but also delivers, on average, better cumulative rewards than the best start-up or grade-change observed in the historical data, demonstrating its potential to automate transition operations beyond current expert capability.

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Cite this paper

@article{durkin2025hoflon,
  title  = {HOFLON: Hybrid Offline Learning and Online Optimization for Process Start-Up and Grade-Transition Control},
  author = {Alex Durkin and Jasper Stolte and Mehmet Mercangöz},
  year   = {2025},
  eprint = {2510.03830},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2510.03830v1}
}

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