Evaluating and Learning Optimal Dynamic Treatment Regimes under Truncation by Death

Sihyung Park, Wenbin Lu, Shu Yang
10/8/2025
stat.MLcs.LGstat.ME

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Abstract

Truncation by death, a prevalent challenge in critical care, renders traditional dynamic treatment regime (DTR) evaluation inapplicable due to ill-defined potential outcomes. We introduce a principal stratification-based method, focusing on the always-survivor value function. We derive a semiparametrically efficient, multiply robust estimator for multi-stage DTRs, demonstrating its robustness and efficiency. Empirical validation and an application to electronic health records showcase its utility for personalized treatment optimization.

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@article{park2025evaluating,
  title  = {Evaluating and Learning Optimal Dynamic Treatment Regimes under Truncation by Death},
  author = {Sihyung Park and Wenbin Lu and Shu Yang},
  year   = {2025},
  eprint = {2510.07501},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2510.07501v1}
}

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