Are Time-Indexed Foundation Models the Future of Time Series Imputation?

Etienne Le Naour, Tahar Nabil, Adrien Petralia, Ghislain Agoua
11/8/2025
cs.LG

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Abstract

Foundation models for time series imputation remain largely unexplored. Recently, two such models, TabPFN-TS and MoTM, have emerged. These models share a common philosophy that places them within the family of time-indexed foundation models. This paper presents the first large-scale empirical study of these models for zero-shot imputation, which enables missing value recovery without retraining across a wide range of scenarios. We conduct extensive univariate experiments across 33 out-of-domain datasets (approximately 1.3M imputation windows) and evaluate their ability to integrate covariates at inference time to improve accuracy without fine-tuning. Our results demonstrate that time-indexed foundation models are a powerful and practical step toward achieving general-purpose, zero-shot imputation for real-world time series.

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@article{naour2025timeindexed,
  title  = {Are Time-Indexed Foundation Models the Future of Time Series Imputation?},
  author = {Etienne Le Naour and Tahar Nabil and Adrien Petralia and Ghislain Agoua},
  year   = {2025},
  eprint = {2511.05980},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2511.05980v1}
}

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