Drift Estimation for Diffusion Processes Using Neural Networks Based on Discretely Observed Independent Paths

Yuzhen Zhao, Yating Liu, Marc Hoffmann
11/14/2025
stat.MLcs.LGmath.ST

No official code found. Best implementation: yuzhen3001/nn-drift-estimation-diffusion-process (1 star, last commit 2026-01-23).

Abstract

This paper addresses the nonparametric estimation of the drift function over a compact domain for a time-homogeneous diffusion process, based on high-frequency discrete observations from $N$ independent trajectories. We propose a neural network-based estimator and derive a non-asymptotic convergence rate, decomposed into a training error, an approximation error, and a diffusion-related term scaling as ${\log N}/{N}$. For compositional drift functions, we establish an explicit rate. In the numerical experiments, we consider a drift function with local fluctuations generated by a double-layer compositional structure featuring local oscillations, and show that the empirical convergence rate becomes independent of the input dimension $d$. Compared to the $B$-spline method, the neural network estimator achieves better convergence rates and more effectively captures local features, particularly in higher-dimensional settings.

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Code for the paper “Drift Estimation for Diffusion Processes Using Neural Networks Based on Discretely Observed Independent Paths”

10Shell, PythonNov 13, 20259 months ago

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Cite this paper

@article{zhao2025drift,
  title  = {Drift Estimation for Diffusion Processes Using Neural Networks Based on Discretely Observed Independent Paths},
  author = {Yuzhen Zhao and Yating Liu and Marc Hoffmann},
  year   = {2025},
  eprint = {2511.11161},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2511.11161v1}
}

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