Value Under Ignorance in Universal Artificial Intelligence

Cole Wyeth, Marcus Hutter
12/18/2025
cs.AI

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Abstract

We generalize the AIXI reinforcement learning agent to admit a wider class of utility functions. Assigning a utility to each possible interaction history forces us to confront the ambiguity that some hypotheses in the agent's belief distribution only predict a finite prefix of the history, which is sometimes interpreted as implying a chance of death equal to a quantity called the semimeasure loss. This death interpretation suggests one way to assign utilities to such history prefixes. We argue that it is as natural to view the belief distributions as imprecise probability distributions, with the semimeasure loss as total ignorance. This motivates us to consider the consequences of computing expected utilities with Choquet integrals from imprecise probability theory, including an investigation of their computability level. We recover the standard recursive value function as a special case. However, our most general expected utilities under the death interpretation cannot be characterized as such Choquet integrals.

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Cite this paper

@article{wyeth2025value,
  title  = {Value Under Ignorance in Universal Artificial Intelligence},
  author = {Cole Wyeth and Marcus Hutter},
  year   = {2025},
  eprint = {2512.17086},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2512.17086v1}
}

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