Causal Discovery with Mixed Latent Confounding via Precision Decomposition

Amir Asiaee, Samhita Pal, James O'quinn, James P. Long
12/31/2025
cs.LG

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Abstract

We study causal discovery from observational data in linear Gaussian systems affected by \emph{mixed latent confounding}, where some unobserved factors act broadly across many variables while others influence only small subsets. This setting is common in practice and poses a challenge for existing methods: differentiable and score-based DAG learners can misinterpret global latent effects as causal edges, while latent-variable graphical models recover only undirected structure. We propose \textsc{DCL-DECOR}, a modular, precision-led pipeline that separates these roles. The method first isolates pervasive latent effects by decomposing the observed precision matrix into a structured component and a low-rank component. The structured component corresponds to the conditional distribution after accounting for pervasive confounders and retains only local dependence induced by the causal graph and localized confounding. A correlated-noise DAG learner is then applied to this deconfounded representation to recover directed edges while modeling remaining structured error correlations, followed by a simple reconciliation step to enforce bow-freeness. We provide identifiability results that characterize the recoverable causal target under mixed confounding and show how the overall problem reduces to well-studied subproblems with modular guarantees. Synthetic experiments that vary the strength and dimensionality of pervasive confounding demonstrate consistent improvements in directed edge recovery over applying correlated-noise DAG learning directly to the confounded data.

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Cite this paper

@article{asiaee2025causal,
  title  = {Causal Discovery with Mixed Latent Confounding via Precision Decomposition},
  author = {Amir Asiaee and Samhita Pal and James O'quinn and James P. Long},
  year   = {2025},
  eprint = {2512.24696},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2512.24696v1}
}

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