A Field Guide to Decision Making

Richard B. Arthur
4/22/2026
cs.CYcs.AI

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Abstract

High-consequence decision making demands peak performance from individuals in positions of responsibility. Such executive authority bears the obligation to act despite uncertainty, limited resources, time constraints, and accountability risks. Tools and strategies to motivate confidence and foster risk tolerance must confront informational noise and can provide qualified accountability. Machine intelligence augments human cognition and perception to improve situational awareness, decision framing, flexibility, and coherence through agentic stewardship of contextual metadata. We examine systemic and behavioral factors crucial to address in scenarios encumbered by complexity, uncertainty, and urgency.

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Cite this paper

@article{arthur2026field,
  title  = {A Field Guide to Decision Making},
  author = {Richard B. Arthur},
  year   = {2026},
  eprint = {2604.20669},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2604.20669v1}
}

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