The State-Prediction Separation Hypothesis

Giovanni Monea, Nathan Godey, Kianté Brantley, Yoav Artzi
7/1/2026
cs.CLcs.AIcs.LG

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Abstract

Transformers use the same forward computation stream to both predict the next token and store useful state for future token predictions. We formulate the \emph{state-prediction separation hypothesis}: disentangling the two roles yields better language modeling performance. We design a Transformer variant that uses two computation streams to separate the two functions, and conduct pretraining experiments across various scales. Our experiments show that state-prediction separation consistently offers better data and compute efficiencies, improving validation loss and outperforming standard Transformers by 2--3 percentage points on average on downstream tasks. We also conduct extensive empirical analysis that rules out potential confounders and demonstrates the fundamental difference in the gradients our design entails.

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Cite this paper

@article{monea2026stateprediction,
  title  = {The State-Prediction Separation Hypothesis},
  author = {Giovanni Monea and Nathan Godey and Kianté Brantley and Yoav Artzi},
  year   = {2026},
  eprint = {2607.01218},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url    = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2607.01218v1}
}

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