UQ-Guided Hyperparameter Optimization for Iterative Learners

Jiesong Liu, Feng Zhang, Jiawei Guan, Xipeng Shen
2/3/2026

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Abstract

Hyperparameter Optimization (HPO) plays a pivotal role in unleashing the potential of iterative machine learning models. This paper addresses a crucial aspect that has largely been overlooked in HPO: the impact of uncertainty in ML model training. The paper introduces the concept of uncertainty-aware HPO and presents a novel approach called the UQ-guided scheme for quantifying uncertainty. This scheme offers a principled and versatile method to empower HPO techniques in handling model uncertainty during their exploration of the candidate space. By constructing a probabilistic model and implementing probability-driven candidate selection and budget allocation, this approach enhances the quality of the resulting model hyperparameters. It achieves a notable performance improvement of over 50% in terms of accuracy regret and exploration time.

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@article{liu2026uqguided,
  title  = {UQ-Guided Hyperparameter Optimization for Iterative Learners},
  author = {Jiesong Liu and Feng Zhang and Jiawei Guan and Xipeng Shen},
  year   = {2026},
  doi    = {10.52202/079017-0013},
  url    = {https://doi.org/10.52202/079017-0013},
  journal = {NEURIPS 2024 2024}
}

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